Published by AmChamEU.
AmCham Portugal supports American Chamber of Commerce to the European Union (AmCham EU)’s statement following yesterday’s announcement of a deal between the EU and the US about tariffs:
The framework agreement reached between the EU and the US provides relief to businesses bracing for significant disruption across global supply chains. The deal brings much-needed de-escalation in the ongoing dispute and greater certainty for companies. However, a 15% tariff still marks a significant increase in the cost of trading across the Atlantic for many sectors.
The EU and the US must now build on this deal to reach a permanent agreement, with technical details defined as soon as possible. Clarity over implementation, including next steps for Section 232 tariffs, will be critical for companies, who need a predictable framework to operate. The EU and the US should expand the number of sectors included in the deal’s zero-for-zero tariff list, with the goal of creating a zero-tariff zone across the Atlantic.
Ultimately, the two sides should advance regulatory cooperation and a shared approach to common geopolitical challenges. The commitment to work more closely on issues such as energy, defence, technology and global overcapacity is a constructive first step in reinforcing the transatlantic economic partnership.
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EU–US Trade Agreement
July 2025
Summary
- Averts a full-blown trade war between the US and EU.
- Sets a 15% baseline tariff on most EU exports to the US (previously 10%).
- Steel remains at 50% tariff; cars drop from 27.5% to 15%.
- Applies to 70% of EU exports, worth €380bn annually.
EU agrees to:
- Buy $750bn in US energy over 3 years.
- Aggregate and declare $600bn in investments in the US.
- In return, US exports to the EU, including cars, become duty-free.
Donald Trump:
- Secured an asymmetrical deal, benefiting US exports and energy sector.
- Claimed victory by presenting the EU investment pledge as larger than Japan’s.
- US enegy and car sectors gain a competitive edge in Europe.
Europe
- EU exporters, especially in automotive, wine, spirits, and agrifood sectors – lose
- WTO pharma zero-tariff pact ends.
Pharmaceuticals:
- Remain zero-rated for now; Trump committed not to exceed 15% in future.
- Zero tariffs for some goods: aircraft parts, chemicals, some generics, semiconductors, select agri-products, critical raw materials.
France:
- Strongly criticises the deal as a capitulation to Trump’s pressure.
- French trade minister called for a firmer EU retaliation.
- French PM called it a “dark day” for the EU.
- France vocally opposed the deal but cannot block it.
Trade is an EU Commission competency; France is isolated, aside from Hungary.
Implementation Timeline
Tariffs begin Friday.
Legal formalisation:
- US to enact via executive orders.
- EU requires legal instruments or agreements, taking weeks or months.
- A joint statement expected Friday; legal text to follow.
Commission’s Defence
- Alternative was a trade war, says EU Trade Commissioner Šefčovič.
- Trump started by demanding 30%, then 21%, before agreeing to 15%.
- Atmosphere during talks at Trump’s Turnberry resort described as tense.
- EU insists it kept member states informed since Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs (2 April).
- Commissioner admits pre-2 April conditions are gone for good.
Ongoing Talks & Sector Notes
Wine and spirits:
- Still under negotiation.
- Irish whiskey and major European wine producers (France, Italy, Spain, Portugal) lobbying hard.
Agrifood:
- EU keeps protections against non-compliant US imports.
- Lifts tariffs on products it can’t source domestically (e.g. some nuts, fish, pet food).
- Expands bison meat quota at preferred tariff rate.
Portugal Sectoral and Institutional Reactions
- CIP (Portuguese Business Confederation) – Rafael Alves Rocha
- Agreement ends months of “uncertainty and ambiguity”.
- Predictability is vital for Portuguese companies.
- But a 15% tariff (vs. 10%) still has very negative consequences.
- AEP (Portuguese Business Association) – Luís Miguel Ribeiro
- Concerned that EU’s treatment is worse than the UK’s, though equal to Japan’s.
- Warns of added pressure on Portuguese exports due to euro appreciation.
- Sectors most exposed: food, textiles, footwear, chemicals, metalworking, machinery.
- Indirect Risks: If other EU countries see their US exports drop, demand for Portuguese inputs will also fall. Auto and textile sectors especially vulnerable via this indirect channel.
- Logoplaste (Packaging firm) – Filipe de Botton
- Emphasizes previsibility as key for business.
- Questions how long the deal will last under Trump’s “irrational” administration.
- AIMMAP (Metallurgical and Metalworking Association) – Rafael Campos Pereira
- 15% tariffs are painful, but “manageable” compared to feared 30%.
- Concern remains over aluminium and steel tariffs (still at 50%).
- Critical to assess if finished or semi-finished products are included.
- APICCAPS (Footwear Association) – Paulo Gonçalves
- 15% tariff is better than expected and provides stability.
- Sector had grown 5% until May, except in the US, where growth stalled.
- Highlights potential for new trade deals, especially with China.
- ViniPortugal (Wine Association) – Frederico Falcão
- Sells €102M in wine to US; worried tariffs may inflate prices by over 20% due to multilayered US distribution.
- Calls for 0% tariff on wine; fears 15% could lead to a 20% drop in market share.
- Companies previously mitigated 10% tariffs through stockpiling or absorbing costs — harder to do with 15%.
- ANIMEE (Electrical Industry Association) – Aurélio Caldeira
- Calls the deal a “ceasefire, not peace”, but welcomes clarity and investment confidence.
- ATP (Textile Association) – Mário Machado
- Calls it a bad but necessary deal, as EU couldn’t afford a trade war.
- Tariffs worsen the situation in a sector already pressured by Chinese competition.
- AFIA (Automotive Suppliers Association):
- Welcomes stability but uncertain if auto parts are covered under Section 232 tariffs.
- Fears components may face higher tariffs than final products (OEMs).
- AEMinho (Minho Business Association) – Ramiro Brito
- Harshly critical: sees the deal as Europe surrendering to Trump’s erratic behavior.
- Predicts short-term US gain, long-term EU loss; calls it a strategic failure.
- AIP (Industry Association of Portugal) – José Eduardo Carvalho
- Notes 15% is better than Trump’s proposed 30%, but worse than the EU’s desired zero-for-zero deal.
- Some firms considering direct investment in the US to bypass future tariffs.
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